RSA - Mexico ???

According to some people on http://wc2010.crossfire.nu RSA will WIN from Mexico...


Braindamage?
Comments
46
I'm more surprised of someone betting on a tied match, that is clearly a dominated strategy gametheory-wise due to a decreased probability of getting 3 points.
Most people who fill in these kind of 'predictions', fill them in on what they think what is the end-result, not what is statistically the best option...
Parent
That's casual and lame. Something a woman would do. I'm competitive and masculine.
Parent
I think my football-knowlegde works better then statisics
Parent
Pretty impressive if your knowledge works better than a system of absolute universal truths (mathematics).
Parent
Time will tell
Parent
When talking about statistics, only an infinite amount of time will do.
Parent
Not if you only want a result to a certain statistical significance - then you can do it in a finite time!
Parent
Yea, you only have to check the odds on a betting site to know that. Ties are mostly between 3.00 and 3.50. If you take off the profits the betting company takes you know the average odds on either team winning is around 2.30/2.50 . Betting money on draws is never profitable.
Parent
By "never profitable" you must be "never profitable with even odds". Obviously it's a good bet if you get 10:1 on it.
Parent
I mean never profitable (on average) with odds 3.00/3.20 but yea you can say the same about betting in general because betting companies take a margin of 15% of all bets.

nvm -_-
Parent
I suspect the true optimal is almost always going to be 2-1 for the team you think will win. But if multiple people do that, you won't win outright unless you make a unique deviation from that.
Parent
Just gotta be more accurate in determining the winner - and surely 2-0 is a better bet for something like Brazil vs. Randomshitland
Parent
You might be right there. The teams that are absolutely awful might statistically score closer to 0 than 1. I'd have to check the results of previous world cups :D
Parent
You never know what happens on the WC.
ye, will you piss or poo o_O
Parent
Anything can happen. Last EC my mate had bet on EVERY game 2-1. He fucking won the competition with that :X
lol didnt know the site is done
thx krosan XXX best admin kisses
thank rafiki ;)
Parent
indeed, this shizzle won;t send email confirmation
anti jew site?????????????
Parent
that's what I entered, and then everyone started COPYING ME
dont underestemate South afrika.
They have a pretty decent team.
I predicted 3-1
am fairly confident that RSA will take it
<Thomas> if women think they arent meant to cook
<Thomas> why do they have milk and eggs inside them?
y'all crazy
Home Championship = skillboost
I was between 2-0 or 2-1 mexico
I predict 6-9
RSA are the hosts = at least 1/8 for them. Mark my words.
Considering they've never ever gotten out of their groupstage, that makes perfect sense.
Parent
Just wait and see :).

EDIT: BTW, South Korea has lost or drawn all of its matches except for in the last two tournaments ( 2002 and 2006 ). :) Suddenly, semifinal!
Parent
The effect of having the home crowd behind you and playing in a familiar stadium shouldn't be underestimated.
Parent
The only way they will achieve that is if the referees protect the home country just like in 2002 with south korea.
Parent
No shit, Sherlock. ;)
Parent
It could be you are a fan of their awesome playing style and see them going pretty far :)

Anyway, it depends on how France perform if they go through or not.
Parent
I am most certainly not a fan of their style nor team. They are the hosts of incoming cup and i am pretty sure some "unidentified forces" will help them pass through the group stage :).
Parent
0-0 imo after bornig match RSA plays shit but they will play at home
It will be 6-9
Hostteam playing on their own world championship is like polaks playing on a no pb server. instant skillboost
made me smile :D
Parent
will be a boring 0-0 : /
11 Juni - 16:00 South Africa - Mexico 1-2!
it says i havent completed my registration, but i followed the link in my mail.


fix it or gtfo rafiki!
2-1 RSA : )))
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