I'm more surprised of someone betting on a tied match, that is clearly a dominated strategy gametheory-wise due to a decreased probability of getting 3 points.
Most people who fill in these kind of 'predictions', fill them in on what they think what is the end-result, not what is statistically the best option...
Yea, you only have to check the odds on a betting site to know that. Ties are mostly between 3.00 and 3.50. If you take off the profits the betting company takes you know the average odds on either team winning is around 2.30/2.50 . Betting money on draws is never profitable.
I mean never profitable (on average) with odds 3.00/3.20 but yea you can say the same about betting in general because betting companies take a margin of 15% of all bets.
I suspect the true optimal is almost always going to be 2-1 for the team you think will win. But if multiple people do that, you won't win outright unless you make a unique deviation from that.
You might be right there. The teams that are absolutely awful might statistically score closer to 0 than 1. I'd have to check the results of previous world cups :D
I am most certainly not a fan of their style nor team. They are the hosts of incoming cup and i am pretty sure some "unidentified forces" will help them pass through the group stage :).
nvm -_-
thx krosan XXX best admin kisses
anti jew site?????????????
They have a pretty decent team.
I predicted 3-1
<Thomas> why do they have milk and eggs inside them?
EDIT: BTW, South Korea has lost or drawn all of its matches except for in the last two tournaments ( 2002 and 2006 ). :) Suddenly, semifinal!
Anyway, it depends on how France perform if they go through or not.
fix it or gtfo rafiki!