vanhaomena bets
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1 Mar 2011, 23:54
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Journals
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':D'
but i got him:
http://www.crossfire.nu/?x=journal&mode=item&id=123272#comment2744899
he was like "omg how its possible"
result:
Last Visitors
Vanhaomena Online
+1 hit :)
Results oriented thinking, in other words looking at what happened in hindsight and using that knowledge to point out nonexistant flaws in the original decision, is a very common mistake that even experienced gamblers occasionally fail to recognise.
If you did indeed have a more accurate estimate on the outcome of the match, you should've written it before the game.
The mathematics part of my post (which explains the 6€ bet) isn't really open for debate, the only subjective part there is my estimation of 's winning probability. What did you assume it to be prior to the game?
Quiz: I just won money in poker. Does that mean I played well?